$HFT is Hashflow's token, which is launching in 4 days

Many got this airdrop, and some others are farming it on Binance Launch Pool (5B TVL)

How much could $HFT be worth at launch?

Let's estimate 🧠

1/13

Hashflow is a multichain aggregator DEX with $10B+ in volume.

$HFT smart contract: 0xb3999f658c0391d94a37f7ff328f3fec942bcadc

Binance Launchpool has over 5 BILLION TVL farming $HFT

launchpad.binance.com/en/launchpool/HFT_BUSD

Here my OG Airdrop Strategy (Feb 2022):

twitter.com/OlimpioCrypto/status/1497023205487554561

2/13

Today we will roughly try to estimate $HFT price valuation at launch, using:

• Total & initial supply
• Market Benchmarks
• Percentage airdropped

Before we start I want to thank Mehdi_eth for giving me a hand with the confusing tokenomics. Thanks mate!

3/13

TOKENOMICS

• 19.5%: Core Team (1y cliff + 3y vesting)
• 25%: Investors
• 2.5%: Future Hires
• 53%: Ecosystem Development

4/13

ECOSYSTEM DEVELOPMENT: 53%

This 53% of Ecosystem Development is meant to be for:

• Airdrops (for being a LP, for trading, for holding their NFTs)
• Liquidity mining incentives
• Trading rewards
• Binance farming
• Market Making

5/13

TOKEN SUPPLY

• Total supply: 1B tokens
• Circulating supply on first day: 175M $HFT

(17.52% of the total supply)

6/13

CIRCULATING SUPPLY: 17.5%

Its composition is a bit difficult to understand, since all of their allocations have different vestings.

Key takeaway is that around 7% of the 17.5% is airdrop, 1.5% is Binance APY, and the rest is a loan for m makers

🔗 docs.hashflow.com/hashflow/hft/allocation-and-distribution7/xx

7/13

TOKEN VALUE ESTIMATION $HFT

Hashflow has a TVL of 45M

🔗 hashflow2.metabaseapp.com/public/dashboard/f4b12fd4-d28c-4f08-95b9-78b00b83cf17

For estimations, let's take other multichain aggregators (bridges) as benchmarks: @StargateFinance
, @SynapseProtocol
, @HopProtocol

8/13

TOKEN VALUE ESTIMATION $HFT

Stargate Finance is the first protocol built on Layer Zero

• TVL: $480M
• Market cap: $66M
• FDV: $478M

If $HFT had this market cap, its price would be ~$0.37

9/13

TOKEN VALUE ESTIMATION $HFT

Synapse Protocol is the bridge with the biggest market cap

• TVL: $205M
• Market cap: $180M
• FDV: $239M

If $HFT had this market cap, its price would be ~null.01

10/13

INVESTMENT and FUNDING

Hashflow raised 25M from investors like @jump_
, @wintermute_
, Dragonfly, etc... at a 400M valuation.

If we translate this 400M valuation to a potential FDV "floor", this would mean:

• Market cap: 70M
• FDV: 400M
• $HFT price: $0.40

11/13

BINANCE AND EXCHANGE LISTINGS

It seems that $HFT will not only be listed in Binance, but other exchanges as well.

We can't underestimate Binance's pump potential, even though we are in a bear market. At launch, there will probably be a considerable amount of volatility

12/13

$HFT SCENARIOS

Pessimistic → Market Cap 43M - $HFT $0.25
Investors → Market Cap 70M - $HFT $0.40
Moderate → Market Cap 86M - $HFT $0.49
Optimistic → Market Cap 177M - $HFT null.01
Ecstatic 🎉 → Market Cap 500M - $HFT $2.85

13/13

Things that could affect HFT's price:

• Liquidity mining launch (TVL ↑)
• Circulating supply increase (Price ↓)
• Bear market conditions
• Launch & token hype
• HFT's value proposition and further development

Feel free to plug in your numbers to estimate yourself

⚠️ IMPORTANT ⚠️

"Delegating" in Hashflow means = GIFT 🎁

When you claim your tokens, you have the option to "delegate". Don't use this if you don't want to lose your tokens.

If you "delegate" in Hashflow, you are effectively giving your claim to the other address. Be careful!

For more research and alpha, follow me → lenster.xyz/u/olimpio.lens

🔔 Alerts: t.me/OlimpioAlpha

I posted the $HFT strategy around 9 months ago 👀