While BTC is a constant and predictable by nature, eth is constantly evolving. I think there are differences between 2018 and 2022 for eth. First of all, there are lots of use case for eth in this bear market. Smart contracts enable eth for demands. Besides that there is merge effect. It is like triple halving and made eth deflationary. I don't say it can't be go lower but expecting a bottom according to previous data and data of BTC can be unreliable.